In this post, I explain how a newly introduced bias--likelihood neglect bias--can prevent us from forming accurate judgments about the world.

Amazon's CEO thinks AI is the biggest opportunity since the invention of the internet. Is it? Ask yourself these five questions.

The Germans developed a style of warfare, called blitzkrieg, that employed a rapid and overwhelming use of force to disrupt ...

Key Points Hypothesis testing provides organizations with a structured approach to evaluate assumptions using data, reducing ...

Scientists at Yale and in Singapore have devised what may be the ultimate acid test—a comprehensive model for estimating the ...

The Ladder of Inference provides a structured way to challenge assumptions, test conclusions and align decisions with broader ...

The multiple feedback loops that are now appearing may mean the logjam that has held up one of computer science’s major ...

Vales is special faculty in CMU's Department of Psychology. She worked with colleagues Zach Branson and Anna Fisher to find a ...